At first glance you would say "25%" because there are four choices. Buuuut, two of those choices are "25%", so if this were true, then the answer would in fact actually be "50%" because two of the choices are the same. But if THAT were true, then that in fact contradicts the statement that 1 in 4 are correct because in fact 2 in 4 are correct, which makes the logic behind picking "50%" invalid so HGGGGGGGGGN.

Oh God I love this kind of lil' "games".
Give us more, Roxas!

"Life is offensive, people; it's brutal, stupid, annoying, dirty, and at the end, ******* pointless. Seriously, folks, you need to get a grip, alright? Relax yourself!" - Foamy

11-02-2011, 09:34 AM (This post was last modified: 11-02-2011, 09:35 AM by JVNemesis.)

...Er. But we don't actually know the question. It's only asking for the chance that we'd be correct, if we selected an answer at random.
...So it's a different question.

Wait.

I ran with that train of logic and read it again.
We can either be right or wrong.
My vote goes with B, 50%.

11-02-2011, 09:46 AM (This post was last modified: 11-02-2011, 09:48 AM by Uthaniel.)

Answer below:

Spoiler:

Quote:If you would pick an answer for this question at random, what is the chance you'd be correct?

Analyze the question. "If you pick an answer for this question at random" does not imply you need to pick one of the four alternatives, neither does it state you're not allowed to give it thought.

This said.

A and D are the same.
C is the obviously wrong choice.

By only picking randomly between A and B (Because A=D and C is wrong), the chance of getting it right is 50%.

The wording of the question never stipulates that we -are- bound to pick one of the four choices, but merely asks us to calculate what our chances of being correct would be if we were.

The 25/50% conflict discussed above talks about how neither of the otherwise viable answers are correct.

If we have to pick one of the four answers, we will never be right.

Quote:If you would pick an answer for this question at random, what is the chance you'd be correct?

Analyze the question. "If you pick an answer for this question at random" does not imply you need to pick one of the four alternatives, neither does it state you're not allowed to give it thought.

This said.

A and D are the same.
C is the obviously wrong choice.

By only picking randomly between A and B (Because A=D and C is wrong), the chance of getting it right is 50%.